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Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 1, 2020 at 3am UK
Estadio Azteca
Guatemala national football team

Mexico
3 - 0
Guatemala

Martin (6'), Pineda (28'), Cordova (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Mexico and Guatemala.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 76.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 8.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawGuatemala
76.42%15.44%8.15%
Both teams to score 43.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.18%40.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79%63.21%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.06%8.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.48%30.52%
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93%52.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95%86.04%
Score Analysis
    Mexico 76.41%
    Guatemala 8.15%
    Draw 15.44%
MexicoDrawGuatemala
2-0 @ 13.57%
1-0 @ 11.23%
3-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-1 @ 7.13%
4-0 @ 6.6%
4-1 @ 4.31%
5-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.41%
6-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 76.41%
1-1 @ 7.33%
0-0 @ 4.65%
2-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 15.44%
0-1 @ 3.04%
1-2 @ 2.39%
0-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 8.15%

Head to Head
Jul 13, 2015 2am
Group Stage
Guatemala
0-0
Mexico
Morales (11'), Aparicio (38'), Contreras (74'), Hernandez (78')
Contreras (78')
Aguilar (45'), Layun (51')
rhs 2.0
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