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FA Cup
Carlisle United
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Shrewsbury Town

Carlisle
1 - 2
Shrewsbury

Gibson (90+1')
Whelan (8'), Clough (30'), Feeney (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bloxham (10'), Bowman (78')
Pennington (25'), Vela (49'), Udoh (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Carlisle United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

 With both teams showing some signs of progress in their most recent games, this one could go either way depending on who does a better job of keeping up their momentum. We are backing the League One side to draw on their extra class and earn a narrow victory to progress to round three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
32.53%27.45%40.02%
Both teams to score 49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.45%56.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.47%77.53%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72%32.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22%68.78%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35%27.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81%63.19%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 32.53%
    Shrewsbury Town 40.02%
    Draw 27.44%
Carlisle UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.53%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 11.47%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.02%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Shrewsbury

Carlisle United
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Shrewsbury Town
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Wyke (66')
Meppen-Walters (63')
Collins (94'), Demetriou (93')
Collins (95')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
Carlisle
Grandison (42')

Dempsey (38'), Thirlwell (84')
Thirlwell (90')
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
Carlisle
0-0
Shrewsbury
Woods (25')
Oct 5, 2013 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-2
Carlisle
Bradshaw (40'), Parry (91')
Weale (75')
Amoo (87'), O'Hanlon (90')
Mar 29, 2013 3pm
Carlisle
2-2
Shrewsbury
Miller (65' pen., 82' pen.)
Miller (72')
Mambo (76'), Richards (63')
Hurst (49'), Summerfield (64'), Weale (82'), Taylor (90')
rhs 2.0
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