MX23RW : Monday, December 23 02:45:29| >> :600:6074803:6074803:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Northern Ireland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2023 at 2pm UK
Windsor Park
San Marino national football team

N. Ireland
3 - 0
San Marino

Smyth (5'), Magennis (11'), McMenamin (81')
Lewis (43'), Washington (64'), McNair (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Northern Ireland and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-0 N. Ireland
Sunday, September 10 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

San Marino

All competitions
Last Game: San Marino 0-4 Slovenia
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Northern Ireland 3-0 San Marino

 Without a victory for nearly two decades, San Marino's winless run stands at 132 matches ahead of their trip to Windsor Park, where they are set to be dealt a seventh straight defeat in Group H. Northern Ireland often struggle to score, but home advantage and a relative lack of pressure should help them comfortably see off one of football's smallest minnows. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 95.85%. A draw had a probability of 3.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 0.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 3-0 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (16.76%) and 2-0 (15.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.46%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (0.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 18.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Northern Ireland in this match.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawSan Marino
95.85% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 3.73% (0.0199 0.02) 0.42% (0.007 0.01)
Both teams to score 11.78% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.55% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.45% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)49.3% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.2% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)2.8% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.2% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)12.81% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
12.12% (0.125 0.13)87.88% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0.77% (0.017 0.02)99.24% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 95.83%
    San Marino 0.42%
    Draw 3.73%
Northern IrelandDrawSan Marino
3-0 @ 18.74% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
4-0 @ 16.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 15.72%
5-0 @ 11.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
6-0 @ 7.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
7-0 @ 3.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 2.03% (0.022 0.02)
8-0 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.013 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 95.83%
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
1-1 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 3.73%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 0.42%

How you voted: N. Ireland vs San Marino

Northern Ireland
74.2%
Draw
19.4%
San Marino
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
San Marino
0-2
N. Ireland
Charles (24', 55')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
San Marino
0-3
N. Ireland
Magennis (70', 75'), Davis (78' pen.)
Oct 8, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
N. Ireland
4-0
San Marino
Davis (26' pen.), Lafferty (79', 94'), Ward (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!