MX23RW : Friday, January 3 02:33:57| >> :600:7024511:7024511:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Slovenia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Arena Petrol
San Marino national football team

Slovenia
2 - 0
San Marino

Sesko (56'), Di Maio (60' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

D'Addario (45'), Fabbri (54'), Costantini (65'), Franciosi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Slovenia and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, March 23 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

San Marino

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: San Marino 0-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Slovenia 5-0 San Marino

 Slovenia have won every one of their previous meetings with San Marino, and there is seemingly no real chance of that run coming to an end on Sunday, particularly given how well they played in the second half against Kazakhstan. Kekci have always won by at least a four-goal margin when they have faced La Serenissima at home in the past, and so we expect them to win by a similar scoreline this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 87.83%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.29%) and 4-0 (10.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawSan Marino
87.83% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 9.04% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 3.14% (0.1121 0.11)
Both teams to score 34.2% (1.56 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.11% (1.258 1.26)32.89% (-1.255 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (1.435 1.44)54.59% (-1.432 -1.43)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.08% (0.21199999999999 0.21)4.92% (-0.2089 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.25% (0.627 0.63)19.75% (-0.625 -0.63)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.97% (1.565 1.57)64.03% (-1.563 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.42% (0.679 0.68)92.57% (-0.67700000000001 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 87.81%
    San Marino 3.14%
    Draw 9.04%
SloveniaDrawSan Marino
3-0 @ 14.34% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 14.29% (-0.55 -0.55)
4-0 @ 10.79% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.504 -0.5)
5-0 @ 6.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.4% (0.199 0.2)
2-1 @ 6.37% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.82% (0.215 0.22)
6-0 @ 3.26% (0.058 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.9% (0.168 0.17)
6-1 @ 1.46% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.119 0.12)
7-0 @ 1.4% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 87.81%
1-1 @ 4.23% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 1.42% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 9.04%
0-1 @ 1.41% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 0.94% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 3.14%

How you voted: Slovenia vs San Marino

Slovenia
83.6%
Draw
6.0%
San Marino
10.4%
67
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Slovenia
4-0
San Marino
Mitrovic (17', 42'), Vuckic (25' pen.), Rep (48')
Oct 12, 2015 7.45pm
Group E
San Marino
0-2
Slovenia

Gasperoni (12'), Brolli (73')
Cesar (54'), Pecnik (74')
Ilicic (34'), Kurtic (48')
> Match Report
Mar 27, 2015 7.45pm
Group E
Slovenia
6-0
San Marino
Ilicic (10'), Kampl (49'), Struna (50'), Novakovic (52'), Lazarevic (73'), Ilic (88')

Simoncini (40'), Palazzi (56'), Selva (75')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!