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Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 6pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
4 - 1
Austria Vienna

Yuksek (12'), Kahveci (44', 70'), Hakan Yandas (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
da Graca (45+1')
da Graca (30'), Kreiker (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Fenerbahce and Austria Vienna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, August 18 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Fenerbahce 2-0 Austria Vienna (Fenerbahce to win 4-0 on aggregate)

Ultimately, it is difficult to see anything beyond a comfortable home win on Thursday. Fenerbahce outplayed their opponents away from home last week, and we expect them to keep Austria Vienna at arms length once again to wrap up their progression to the group stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Austria Vienna win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawAustria Vienna
50.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.74% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 24.37% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.99% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.81% (0.114 0.11)50.19% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85% (0.103 0.1)72.15% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (0.045000000000002 0.05)19.72% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)51.74% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (0.087000000000003 0.09)35.23% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (0.089000000000002 0.09)71.99% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 50.88%
    Austria Vienna 24.37%
    Draw 24.74%
FenerbahceDrawAustria Vienna
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 50.88%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 24.37%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Austria Vienna

Fenerbahce
92.2%
Draw
3.9%
Austria Vienna
3.9%
77
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 8pm
Austria Vienna
0-2
Fenerbahce

Galvao (49'), Fruchtl (90+2')
Galvao (83')
King (8'), Dursun (89')
Alioski (32'), Yuksek (73')
rhs 2.0
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