Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Víkingsvöllur
Vikingur1 - 0Lech Poznan
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Vikingur Reykjavik and Lech Poznan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 0-0 Vikingur
Tuesday, July 26 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League
Tuesday, July 26 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Batumi 1-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Lech Poznan |
35.17% ( 0.04) | 25.69% ( -0.07) | 39.14% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
