MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 22:58:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
NEC

Sparta
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Abels (7'), de Guzman (29')
van Crooij (79'), Lauritsen (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Elkarouani (25'), Tannane (62'), Verdonk (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 3-1 Emmen
Saturday, October 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Excelsior
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 NEC

NEC have been on a remarkable run of draws recently, and we expect it to continue for at least another game. Despite Sparta Rotterdam's good recent form at home, Nijmegen have been able to keep it tight at the back and frustrate teams, which they are likely to do again on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC
46.76% (0.199 0.2) 25.46% (-0.138 -0.14) 27.79% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.78% (0.382 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (0.522 0.52)50.59% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (0.46 0.46)72.51% (-0.458 -0.46)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (0.30799999999999 0.31)21.64% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (0.466 0.47)54.76% (-0.465 -0.47)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (0.226 0.23)32.65% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.253 0.25)69.19% (-0.25099999999999 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 46.75%
    NEC 27.79%
    Draw 25.45%
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.79%

How you voted: Sparta vs Nijmegen

Sparta Rotterdam
47.4%
Draw
44.7%
NEC
7.9%
38
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Sep 17, 2021 7pm
Sparta
1-1
NEC
Mijnans (44')
Auassar (62'), Abels (73')
Okita (28')
Akman (36'), Barreto (79'), Schone (85')
Mar 24, 2019 11.15am
Sparta
1-0
NEC
Ache (40')

Bruijn (32'), Wolters (42')
Nov 18, 2018 3.45pm
NEC
1-1
Sparta
Braken (7')
Bossaerts (59'), Dijkstra (66'), van Eijden (89')
Harroui (84')
Auassar (27')
Feb 25, 2017 6.45pm
NEC
0-1
Sparta

Golla (76')
Van Moorsel (33')
Sanusi (41'), van Moorsel (59'), Dumfries (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!