Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
