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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Cambuur |
38.24% | 25.03% | 36.73% |
Both teams to score 57.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.21% | 45.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.89% | 68.1% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.33% | 23.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.23% | 57.77% |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% | 24.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.08% | 58.92% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Cambuur |
2-1 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.24% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-1 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |