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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
30.62% ( 3.13) | 25.84% ( 1.22) | 43.54% ( -4.34) |
Both teams to score 53.26% ( -1.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.24% ( -3.47) | 50.76% ( 3.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( -3.14) | 72.65% ( 3.14) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( 0.49) | 30.66% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 0.57) | 66.91% ( -0.57) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% ( -3.39) | 23.2% ( 3.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.91% ( -5.21) | 57.1% ( 5.21) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 8.41% ( 1.21) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.77) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.33) Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.63) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.94) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.5) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.72) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.67) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.39) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.46) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.42) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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