Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
