Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
