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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 11.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Cambuur |
72.37% ( -0.1) | 16.61% ( 0.06) | 11.02% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.49% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.05% ( -0.16) | 36.95% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.86% ( -0.17) | 59.13% ( 0.17) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.08% ( -0.06) | 8.92% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.53% ( -0.15) | 30.47% ( 0.15) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.53% ( -0.04) | 43.47% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.31% ( -0.03) | 79.69% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Cambuur |
2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 72.36% | 1-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 16.61% | 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 11.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |