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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.33%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
79.33% | 12.41% | 8.26% |
Both teams to score 57.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.86% | 24.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.2% | 43.8% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.24% | 4.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.75% | 19.25% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.67% | 39.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.97% | 76.03% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
3-0 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 8.1% 4-0 @ 6.72% 4-1 @ 6.27% 1-0 @ 5.7% 5-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.84% 5-1 @ 3.82% 4-2 @ 2.93% 6-0 @ 2.08% 6-1 @ 1.94% 5-2 @ 1.78% 4-3 @ 0.91% 6-2 @ 0.91% 7-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.61% Total : 79.33% | 1-1 @ 5.32% 2-2 @ 3.78% 0-0 @ 1.87% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.41% | 1-2 @ 2.48% 0-1 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.86% Total : 8.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |