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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 23, 2023 at 4pm UK
Haugesund Stadion
Lillestrom

Haugesund
1 - 0
Lillestrom

Reese (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hoff (74'), Adams (90+5')
Adams (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between FK Haugesund and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-1 Haugesund
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 5-1 Aalesund
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: FK Haugesund 1-2 Lillestrom

Despite the difference in points and league positions, this has the potential to be a close match with Liilestrom possessing the joint-worst defensive record in the top nine. Nevertheless, we still expect the visitors to edge this contest, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
FK HaugesundDrawLillestrom
28.57% (-0.223 -0.22) 24.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 46.74% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 55.8% (-0.291 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11% (-0.311 -0.31)46.89% (0.31 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (-0.291 -0.29)69.14% (0.289 0.29)
FK Haugesund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)30.13% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72% (-0.386 -0.39)66.28% (0.384 0.38)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)20.13% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.6% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)52.4% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    FK Haugesund 28.57%
    Lillestrom 46.74%
    Draw 24.69%
FK HaugesundDrawLillestrom
1-0 @ 7.28% (0.031 0.03)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.57%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.079 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.35% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.16% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.74%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 4pm
Apr 24, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lillestrom
1-0
Haugesund
Fridjonsson (87')
Knudsen (58')

Reese (61'), Selvik (79')
Aug 22, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 16
Haugesund
0-3
Lillestrom

Hansen (89'), Velde (90')
Gustafsson (21', 23'), Fredriksen (90+2' og.)
Kairinen (34'), Garnas (60'), Gustafsson (64'), Edh (90+1')
Jun 13, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 6
Lillestrom
2-1
Haugesund
T. Hansen (24' og.), Lehne Olsen (43' pen.)
Matthew (78'), Andre Helland (87'), Garnas (90+6')
Liseth (21')
Therkildsen (26'), Stolas (42'), Sande (90')
Ndour (78')
Aug 25, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 19
Haugesund
0-2
Lillestrom

Kone (46')
Lehne Olsen (64'), Haakenstad (87')
Odemarksbakken (21'), Salquist (35'), Naesbak Brenden (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt30188471314062
2SK BrannBrann30178555332259
3Viking FKViking FK30169561392257
4RosenborgRosenborg30165952391353
5MoldeMolde30157864362852
6Fredrikstad3014973935451
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset30108123240-838
8KFUM OsloKFUM30910113536-137
9Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg30107134355-1237
10SandefjordSandefjord3097144146-534
11KristiansundKristiansund30810123245-1334
12HamKam3089133439-533
13Tromso ILTromso3096153444-1033
14FK HaugesundHaugesund3096152946-1733
15Lillestrom3073203363-3024
16Odd3058172654-2823


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