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MK Dons
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk

MK Dons
2 - 0
West Ham U21s

Dennis (63', 75' pen.)
O'Hora (29'), Devoy (78'), Lawrence (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between MK Dons and West Ham United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 2-3 Peterborough
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: West Ham U21s 0-1 Palace U21s
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 71.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for West Ham United Under-21s had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a West Ham United Under-21s win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWest Ham United Under-21s
71.45% (-2.067 -2.07) 17.35% (0.838 0.84) 11.19% (1.225 1.23)
Both teams to score 49.34% (1.585 1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.97% (-0.318 -0.32)40.02% (0.316 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (-0.33 -0.33)62.39% (0.326 0.33)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.07% (-0.581 -0.58)9.92% (0.5769 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.15% (-1.356 -1.36)32.84% (1.352 1.35)
West Ham United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.78% (2.096 2.1)45.22% (-2.099 -2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.89% (1.616 1.62)81.1% (-1.62 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 71.45%
    West Ham United Under-21s 11.19%
    Draw 17.35%
MK DonsDrawWest Ham United Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.97% (-0.45 -0.45)
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.209 0.21)
3-0 @ 9.22% (-0.593 -0.59)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.33% (-0.49 -0.49)
4-1 @ 4.23% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.157 0.16)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.296 -0.3)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.049 0.05)
6-0 @ 0.95% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 71.45%
1-1 @ 8.23% (0.384 0.38)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.294 0.29)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 17.35%
0-1 @ 3.56% (0.252 0.25)
1-2 @ 3.27% (0.331 0.33)
0-2 @ 1.41% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 1% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 11.19%

rhs 2.0
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12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
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16Crystal Palace173771826-816
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