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EFL Cup
Crawley Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Crawley
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Nichols (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Evans (45+1'), Loft (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Bristol Rovers

Last Six:
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-3 Bristol Rovers

 Bristol Rovers won both of their league meetings with Crawley last season, and we think that they have enough quality to record another victory against the Reds on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBristol Rovers
41.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 25.25% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 33.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)47.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (-0.038 -0.04)69.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)22.77% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)56.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)27.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)62.45% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 41.31%
    Bristol Rovers 33.45%
    Draw 25.24%
Crawley TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.31%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.45%

How you voted: Crawley vs Bristol Rovers

Crawley Town
23.5%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol Rovers
76.5%
17
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Crawley
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Hessenthaler (69')
Craig (13'), Payne (45'), Tsaroulla (89')
Anderson (41'), Collins (65')
Hoole (72')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Crawley
Clarke (47')

Tsaroulla (67')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Crawley
Bennett (32'), Clarke (84')
Payne (56'), Clarke (67'), Smith (94')
Connolly (88')
Randall (40'), Poleon (85')
Poleon (94')
Nov 15, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
4-2
Crawley
Taylor (34', 102' pen.), Gaffney (52', 96')
Roberts (45'), Harold (65')
Garnett (80'), Collins (114')
Nov 5, 2016 12pm
Crawley
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Clifford (34')
Blackman (18'), Smith (31')
Blackman (68')
Brown (15')
Harrison (72')
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