Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.