Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan2 - 1Parma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 2-2 Parma
Monday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Monday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
We say: Inter Milan 2-0 Parma
Despite Inzaghi being likely to make selection changes en masse, we expect Inter to have too much strength in depth for their Serie B opponents. Parma's form has been relatively patchy of late, and it is likely to be one game too far for them in terms of their Coppa Italian run. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Parma |
53.45% ( -0.31) | 23.74% ( 0.06) | 22.8% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
