Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio El Campin
Millonarios1 - 1America Mineiro
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Millonarios and America Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santos 3-2 America Mineiro
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millonarios | Draw | America Mineiro |
42.04% ( -0.34) | 26.82% ( 0.14) | 31.14% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.5% ( -0.49) | 54.5% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.14% ( -0.41) | 75.86% ( 0.41) |
Millonarios Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.39% ( -0.4) | 25.61% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.5% ( -0.54) | 60.49% ( 0.54) |
America Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.79% ( -0.11) | 32.2% ( 0.11) |