MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 21:00:50| >> :60:1984:1984:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio El Campin
America Mineiro

Millonarios
1 - 1
America Mineiro

Castro (16')
Catano (72'), Vasquez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Azevedo (45+2')
Paraiba (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Millonarios and America Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Penarol 0-2 Millonarios
Thursday, April 20 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
MillonariosDrawAmerica Mineiro
42.04% (-0.339 -0.34) 26.82% (0.142 0.14) 31.14% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (-0.489 -0.49)54.5% (0.487 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (-0.41 -0.41)75.86% (0.407 0.41)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (-0.396 -0.4)25.61% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (-0.544 -0.54)60.49% (0.542 0.54)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)32.2% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.127 -0.13)68.69% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Millonarios 42.04%
    America Mineiro 31.14%
    Draw 26.81%
MillonariosDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.04%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.155 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.14%

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