Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
Millonarios3 - 0Defensa
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Millonarios and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Millonarios
Thursday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, March 31 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, March 31 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millonarios would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millonarios | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
50.44% ( 0.2) | 26.83% ( -0) | 22.74% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.4% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
