Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
LDU Quito1 - 2Lanus
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: LDU Quito 2-1 Lanus
LDU Quito have put together a fine run of results in recent weeks and will head into Thursday's matchup with confidence as they look to secure a first-leg advantage. Lanus' recent form on the road leaves a lot to be desired and we see them struggling at the Rodrigo Paz Delgado Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Lanus |
57.43% ( -0.07) | 24.4% ( 0.06) | 18.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.7% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
