Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Olimpia1 - 3Fluminense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-2 Fluminense
Sunday, August 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Olimpia 2-1 Fluminense
Despite dominating the first leg, it is difficult to overlook the visitors away record, which shows no wins in their last 11 matches on the road. Fluminense have to get a goal in this match to give themselves some breathing room, and while they may manage to qualify for the next round, we feel they might lose this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olimpia | Draw | Fluminense |
30.68% ( 0.63) | 25.12% ( 0) | 44.21% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
