Independiente3 - 0America Mineiro
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Fluminense | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | America Mineiro | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Santos | 10 | 4 | 13 |
We said: Independiente del Valle 2-1 America Mineiro
The hosts have already exhibited their supremacy over the away side once, and we are backing them to do it again, albeit by a much narrower margin this time. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 43.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 28.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | America Mineiro |
43.6% ( -0.03) | 28.24% ( -0.04) | 28.15% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.96% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
