Atletico Mineiro2 - 1Vasco
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
for
We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Vasco da Gama
These sides are tied for points domestically this season (36), and we expect a close encounter on Wednesday, with the Mineiro backline holding strong and frustrating a talented Vasco squad. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
57.51% ( 0.19) | 23.59% ( -0.07) | 18.9% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
