MX23RW : Tuesday, September 17 08:34:17| >> :60:250:250:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 0
CRB

Arana (17'), Saravia (25'), de Oliveira Teodoro Falcao (63' og.)
Milito (0')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Henrique Souza Santana (30'), Albino Carneiro (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Mineiro and CRB, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CRB 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, July 31 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 (Atletico Mineiro advances 4-3 on aggregate) CRB

While CRB have a history of punching above their weight, we believe their Copa do Brasil journey will end on Wednesday against a Mineiro side eager to salvage something from what has been a disappointing top-flight campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for CRB had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a CRB win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawCRB
64.93% (1.067 1.07) 20.9% (-0.272 -0.27) 14.17% (-0.797 -0.8)
Both teams to score 46.49% (-1.098 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (-0.427 -0.43)48.58% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3% (-0.391 -0.39)70.7% (0.387 0.39)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.79% (0.191 0.19)14.21% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.07% (0.377 0.38)41.93% (-0.381 -0.38)
CRB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.19% (-1.407 -1.41)45.81% (1.404 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.42% (-1.119 -1.12)81.57% (1.115 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 64.92%
    CRB 14.17%
    Draw 20.9%
Atletico MineiroDrawCRB
1-0 @ 12.7% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 12.39% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.06% (0.305 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.93% (0.176 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 64.92%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.18 -0.18)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.9%
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.87% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 14.17%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs CRB

Atletico Mineiro
84.0%
Draw
12.0%
CRB
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2024 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
CRB
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Prado Camargo (6'), Pereira (7')
Cesar (27')
Prado Camargo (55')
Paulinho (41' pen.), Scarpa (54')
Lyanco (24'), Scarpa (56')
rhs 2.0
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