MX23RW : Friday, January 17 16:04:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Preston North End logo
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Derby logo

Preston
1 - 1
Derby

Greenwood (23')
Greenwood (62'), McCann (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yates (29')
Thompson (58'), Harness (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Preston
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-1 Derby County

Given a fortnight to reflect on their poor run of form, Preston should be raring to get back into second-tier action and put Derby to the sword at Deepdale. The Rams have struggled on the road so far in 2024-25, so we cannot envisage the newly-promoted side earning anything tangible for their efforts in Lancashire this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawDerby County
33.8% (0.308 0.31) 26.72% (0.13 0.13) 39.47% (-0.439 -0.44)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.53% (-0.467 -0.47)53.46% (0.467 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01% (-0.396 -0.4)74.99% (0.396 0.4)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)29.88% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)65.97% (0.038999999999987 0.04)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (-0.455 -0.45)26.5% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3% (-0.608 -0.61)61.7% (0.609 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 33.8%
    Derby County 39.47%
    Draw 26.72%
Preston North EndDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.165 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 33.8%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 10.51% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.47%

How you voted: Preston vs Derby

Preston North End
51.4%
Draw
24.3%
Derby County
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Derby
1-0
Preston
Morrison (80')
Davies (66'), Knight (84')
Bird (55')

Whiteman (61'), Johnson (87')
Lindsay (32')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Preston
0-0
Derby
Johnson (5'), Storey (62')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Preston
3-0
Derby
Whiteman (18'), Evans (73'), Ledson (87')

Byrne (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 21
Derby
0-1
Preston

Waghorn (20')
Browne (90+5')
Fisher (43')
Sep 15, 2020 6.30pm
Second Round
Derby
1-2
Preston
Knight (51')
Buchanan (27'), Shinnie (65'), Evans (88')
te Wierik (55')
Barkhuizen (79'), Johnson (90+2' pen.)
Huntington (59'), Browne (73'), Fisher (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!