We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City
Aside from Fulham, Blackburn would be regarded as favourites to beat any other team in the second tier right now, particularly at Ewood Park. With that in mind, we expect a comfortable afternoon for Rovers, who could also keep a clean sheet.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
