Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 35.63%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (12.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.