Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.