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Champions League header

Champions League
Manchester City logo
Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Real Madrid logo

Man City
1 - 1
Real Madrid

De Bruyne (76')
Grealish (59'), Gvardiol (61'), Rodri (90')
FT
(aet)
Rodrygo (12')
Carvajal (38'), Mendy (90+4')
Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid progress to the semi-finals of the Champions League courtesy of a penalty-shootout victory over the holders Manchester City.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Manchester City and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Manchester City and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Champions League quarter-final second leg with Real Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Manchester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Man City 5-1 Luton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%).

Result
Manchester CityDrawReal Madrid
50.75% (2.182 2.18) 22.46% (-0.416 -0.42) 26.78% (-1.762 -1.76)
Both teams to score 62.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.06% (0.649 0.65)37.94% (-0.646 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.8% (0.689 0.69)60.2% (-0.686 -0.69)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (1.007 1.01)15.18% (-1.004 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2% (1.862 1.86)43.8% (-1.86 -1.86)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (-0.872 -0.87)26.79% (0.875 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92% (-1.164 -1.16)62.07% (1.167 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 50.75%
    Real Madrid 26.78%
    Draw 22.45%
Manchester CityDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.127 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.67% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.28 0.28)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.319 0.32)
3-2 @ 3.94% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.223 0.22)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.218 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.104 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 4%
Total : 50.75%
1-1 @ 10.09% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.314 -0.31)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.307 -0.31)
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.296 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 26.78%

How you voted: Man City vs Real Madrid

Manchester City
62.3%
Real Madrid
37.7%
618
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Real Madrid
3-3
Man City
Dias (12' og.), Rodrygo (14'), Valverde (79')
Tchouameni (1'), Carvajal (81')
Silva (2'), Foden (66'), Gvardiol (71')
Akanji (37'), Silva (88')
> Match Report
May 17, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Man City
4-0
Real Madrid
Silva (23', 37'), Akanji (76'), Alvarez (90+1')
Dias (50'), Gundogan (62'), Grealish (90+1')

Carvajal (55'), Camavinga (75')
> Match Report
May 9, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Real Madrid
1-1
Man City
Junior (36')
De Bruyne (67')
> Match Report
May 4, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Real Madrid
3-1
Man City
Rodrygo (90', 90+1'), Benzema (95' pen.)
Modric (9'), Carvajal (65'), Militao (84'), Valverde (90+6')
Mahrez (73')
Laporte (9'), Sterling (101'), Zinchenko (113')
> Match Report
Apr 26, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Man City
4-3
Real Madrid
De Bruyne (2'), Jesus (11'), Foden (53'), Silva (74')
Guardiola (54'), Fernandinho (81')
Benzema (33', 82'), Junior (55')
Nacho (90+3')
> Preview
Build-up
Manchester City's Erling Haaland, Matheus Nunes and Julian Alvarez celebrate after Luton Town's Daiki Hashioka scores an own goal on April 13, 2024
Manchester City could equal 103-year-old club record in Real Madrid clash
Manchester City could equal a 103-year-old club unbeaten home record when they welcome Real Madrid to the Etihad Stadium in their Champions League quarter-final second leg.
Apr 13, 18:42
 Real Madrid's Rodrygo on March 31, 2024
Real Madrid injury, suspension update vs. Manchester City - Rodrygo emerges as a doubt
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Manchester City.
Apr 14, 10:31
 Manchester City's Kyle Walker celebrates after the match on September 16, 2023
Kyle Walker set to return for Manchester City against Real Madrid
Manchester City full-back Kyle Walker could recover from injury in time to play a role in Wednesday's Champions League meeting with Real Madrid.
Apr 15, 00:08
 England's John Stones shakes hands with manager Gareth Southgate after sustaining an injury on March 26, 2024
Manchester City injury news and return dates for Real Madrid - John Stones concern
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League quarter-final second leg with Real Madrid.
Apr 15, 08:30
 England's John Stones shakes hands with manager Gareth Southgate after sustaining an injury on March 26, 2024
How Manchester City could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Champions League quarter-final second leg with Real Madrid.
Apr 15, 15:54
 Real Madrid's Aurelien Tchouameni in action with Manchester City's Phil Foden on April 9, 2024
How Real Madrid could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League quarter-final second leg with Manchester City.
Apr 15, 16:03
 Real Madrid's Aurelien Tchouameni in action with Manchester City's Phil Foden on April 9, 2024
Real Madrid include suspended player in squad for Manchester City second leg
Real Madrid include Aurelien Tchouameni in their squad for Wednesday's Champions League match at Manchester City, despite the Frenchman being suspended.
Apr 15, 19:46
 Manchester City's Kyle Walker celebrates after the match on September 16, 2023
Pep Guardiola issues "good" Kyle Walker update ahead of Real Madrid clash
Pep Guardiola confirms that Kyle Walker is in contention to feature in the side's Champions League second-leg quarter-final tie against Real Madrid on Wednesday.
Apr 17, 00:23
 Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham celebrates scoring their second goal on October 24, 2023
Jude Bellingham lifts lid on decision to reject Manchester City for Real Madrid
Jude Bellingham has said that joining Real Madrid last summer was an obvious choice for him despite interest from several other top clubs, including Manchester City.
Apr 17, 00:46
rhs 2.0
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