

Union Berlin2 - 3Real Madrid
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Real Madrid |
16.34% (![]() | 20.05% | 63.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.42% (![]() | 40.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.04% (![]() | 62.96% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.02% (![]() | 37.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.25% (![]() | 74.75% (![]() |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.88% (![]() | 12.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.31% (![]() | 37.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Real Madrid |
2-1 @ 4.55% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.46% 2-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 16.34% | 1-1 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.05% | 0-2 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.98% 0-4 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.78% 0-5 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.72% Total : 63.61% |
How you voted: Union Berlin vs Real Madrid

