Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Union Berlin2 - 3Real Madrid
The Match
Match Report
Real Madrid claim a narrow 3-2 win over Union Berlin in their final Champions League group game to end the German side's European journey.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Union Berlin and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Union Berlin and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Union Berlin.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Union Berlin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, December 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, December 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Real Madrid |
16.34% ( 0) | 20.05% | 63.61% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( 0) | 40.58% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( 0) | 62.96% ( -0.01) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% ( 0) | 37.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.25% ( 0) | 74.75% ( -0.01) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.88% ( -0) | 12.12% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.31% ( -0) | 37.69% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Union Berlin 16.34%
Real Madrid 63.61%
Draw 20.05%
| Union Berlin | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 4.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.46% 2-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 16.34% | 1-1 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.05% | 0-2 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.98% 0-4 @ 3.81% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.78% 0-5 @ 1.61% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.72% Total : 63.61% |
How you voted: Union Berlin vs Real Madrid
Union Berlin
9.8%Draw
12.1%Real Madrid
78.2%174
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 5.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Union Berlin
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Union Berlin.
1 year ago
How Real Madrid could line up against Union Berlin
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Union Berlin.
1 year ago
