Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Siro
Inter Milan1 - 0Porto
The Match
Match Report
Romelu Lukaku's late winner guides Inter Milan to a 1-0 victory over 10-man Porto in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Porto.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Porto could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 first leg against Inter Milan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Udinese
Saturday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Porto had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Porto |
41.23% ( 0.46) | 27.39% ( 0) | 31.38% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% ( -0.13) | 56.6% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.42% ( -0.11) | 77.58% ( 0.1) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( 0.19) | 27.01% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.63% ( 0.25) | 62.37% ( -0.25) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( -0.4) | 33.11% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.28% ( -0.44) | 69.71% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Inter Milan 41.22%
Porto 31.38%
Draw 27.38%
| Inter Milan | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.38% |
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Porto
Inter Milan
68.0%Draw
12.1%Porto
19.9%629
Form Guide
Build-up
How Porto could line up against Inter Milan
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Porto could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 first leg against Inter Milan.
2 years ago
How Inter Milan could line up against Porto
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Inter Milan could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 first leg against Porto.
2 years ago
