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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Udinese

Lukaku (20' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73'), Martinez (89')
Lukaku (22'), Darmian (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lovric (43')
Masina (22'), Bijol (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Inter Milan
Monday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Udinese

All competitions
Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Sassuolo
Sunday, February 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Udinese

 No Serie A side has scored more times during the opening half-hour than Inter this season, while Udinese have often proved sluggish early on; conceding the most goals in the first 15 minutes. That seems like a recipe for defeat as far as the Fruilani are concerned - particularly as they lack the tools to fight back given their forwards' dire form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 12.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
67.39% (1.867 1.87) 19.65% (-0.807 -0.81) 12.95% (-1.062 -1.06)
Both teams to score 47.11% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05% (1.116 1.12)45.95% (-1.12 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (1.048 1.05)68.26% (-1.052 -1.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.34% (0.884 0.88)12.66% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.17% (1.801 1.8)38.82% (-1.805 -1.81)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.94% (-0.94 -0.94)46.06% (0.937 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.23% (-0.74 -0.74)81.77% (0.736 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 67.39%
    Udinese 12.95%
    Draw 19.65%
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 12.45% (0.24 0.24)
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.58% (0.442 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.175 0.18)
4-0 @ 4.43% (0.366 0.37)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.201 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.207 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.127 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 67.39%
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.382 -0.38)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.52% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.95%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Udinese

Inter Milan
90.5%
Draw
6.0%
Udinese
3.6%
84
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 11.30am
Udinese
3-1
Inter Milan
Skriniar (22' og.), Bijol (84'), Arslan (90+3')
Barella (5')
Bastoni (13')
May 1, 2022 5pm
Udinese
1-2
Inter Milan
Pussetto (72')
Mari (40'), Pereyra (65')
Perisic (12'), Martinez (39')
Vecino (90+2')
Oct 31, 2021 11.30am
Inter Milan
2-0
Udinese
Correa (60', 68')

Beto (38'), Pereyra (51')
May 23, 2021 2pm
Inter Milan
5-1
Udinese
Young (8'), Eriksen (44'), Martinez (55' pen.), Perisic (64'), Lukaku (71')
Martinez (26')
Pereyra (79' pen.)
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
Udinese
0-0
Inter Milan

Arslan (10'), Samir (37'), Zeegelaar (78')

Bastoni (66'), Sensi (83')
Conte (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010
> Serie A Full Table


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