Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Udinese in this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Udinese |
29.98% ( 0.4) | 26.28% ( -0.32) | 43.74% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( 1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.21% ( 1.44) | 52.79% ( -1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% ( 1.21) | 74.42% ( -1.21) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( 1.04) | 32.15% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.36% ( 1.16) | 68.64% ( -1.15) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% ( 0.6) | 23.99% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.77% ( 0.84) | 58.24% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.98% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |