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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
27.3% | 23.4% | 49.3% |
Both teams to score 59.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% | 41.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.64% | 64.35% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% | 28.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.71% | 64.28% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% | 17.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.56% | 47.43% |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 6.79% 1-0 @ 6.15% 2-0 @ 3.86% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.54% Total : 27.3% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-1 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 5.6% 0-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.99% Total : 49.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |