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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.81%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.62% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (4.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
18.62% | 18.58% | 62.81% |
Both teams to score 65.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.81% | 29.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.79% | 50.21% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.52% | 28.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.75% | 64.25% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.99% | 9.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.29% | 30.71% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 4.87% 1-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-1 @ 2.04% 2-0 @ 2.03% Other @ 4% Total : 18.62% | 1-1 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 2.57% 3-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 0.42% Total : 18.58% | 1-2 @ 9.34% 1-3 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 6.18% 0-3 @ 5.96% 2-3 @ 4.7% 1-4 @ 4.51% 0-4 @ 3.59% 2-4 @ 2.83% 1-5 @ 2.17% 0-5 @ 1.73% 2-5 @ 1.36% 3-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 4.33% Total : 62.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |