MX23RW : Wednesday, September 18 10:56:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Bahia

Sao Paulo
3 - 1
Bahia

Calleri (30'), Ferreira (32'), Luciano (65')
Ferreira (34'), Cuberas (34'), Luciano (65'), Alisson (86'), Gustavo (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gilberto (49')
Kanu (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Vasco
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Sao Paulo 2-2 Bahia

While Bahia have made a very promising start to the 2024 league season, their away record is much less impressive with only one win secured in six outings. Sao Paulo, while not at their absolute best this term, have earned the majority of their points here at MorumBIS, losing only once in their last five home games. This looks a very even contest on paper and we feel there will be nothing to split these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawBahia
58.19% (-0.144 -0.14) 23.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 18.58% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.69% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (0.148 0.15)50.56% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (0.131 0.13)72.48% (-0.134 -0.13)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.1% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.3% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.73% (0.243 0.24)41.26% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21% (0.214 0.21)77.79% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 58.19%
    Bahia 18.58%
    Draw 23.22%
Sao PauloDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Bahia

Sao Paulo
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Bahia
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
0-1
Sao Paulo

Yago (54'), Kanu (87'), Ratao (90'), Mugni (90+2')
Paulista (90+7')
Beraldo (81'), Costa (90+1'), Paulista (90+8')
Jul 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Sao Paulo
0-0
Bahia
Bahia (18'), Gilberto (25'), Xavier (31'), Ratao (76')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 30
Bahia
1-0
Sao Paulo
Rossi (77')
de Lucca (69')

Rigoni (43'), Liziero (57')
Jul 10, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 11
Sao Paulo
1-0
Bahia
Liziero (90+1')

Jonas (73')
Nov 28, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 23
Bahia
1-3
Sao Paulo
Clayson (81')
Luciano (52', 74'), Arboleda (66')
Sara (47'), Alves (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo26165545252053
2PalmeirasPalmeiras26155643192450
3FortalezaFortaleza2614753225749
4FlamengoFlamengo25136640291145
5Sao Paulo2613583426844
6Bahia26126837271042
7Cruzeiro2612593427741
8InternacionalInternacional2410862720738
9Vasco da GamaVasco25105103035-535
10Atletico Mineiro248973236-433
11JuventudeJuventude2688103136-532
12BragantinoBragantino2587103132-131
13Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2486102729-230
14Gremio2484122530-528
15CriciumaCriciuma2577113240-828
16Fluminense2576122128-727
17Vitoria2674152839-1125
18Corinthians26510112333-1025
19Cuiaba2557132338-1522
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2646162142-2118


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