Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 27, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia2 - 1Vasco
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahia 4-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Vasco 4-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Bahia 3-1 Vasco da Gama
Bahia boast the best home record in the division and are one of only two teams still perfect in front of their fans this term. We can see them cruising to a relatively comfortable win in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
61.82% ( 0.13) | 22.43% ( -0.01) | 15.75% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.63% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
