Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
May 2, 2023 at 12am UK
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Vasco0 - 1Bahia
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Bahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, April 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Botafogo
Tuesday, April 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, April 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Bahia |
49.49% ( 0.23) | 25.8% ( -0.04) | 24.7% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 49.17% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.94% ( -0.03) | 54.05% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.51% ( -0.02) | 75.48% ( 0.01) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% ( 0.09) | 21.87% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.89% ( 0.14) | 55.11% ( -0.14) |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.93% ( -0.19) | 37.06% ( 0.18) |