MX23RW : Friday, June 21 01:34:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Cruzeiro

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Cruzeiro

Moura (5'), Calleri (48')
Zubeldia (14'), Franco (45+8'), Alisson (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barreal (13'), Bruno (63')
Marlon (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Talleres
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Sao Paulo 1-0 Cruzeiro

Under new management, both these sides are enjoying an excellent run of form and could end this weekend in the top four. However, Sao Paulo's home record this season is hard to overlook, and while Cruzeiro are unbeaten in their last three away games, they were fairly unconvincing when they played Atletico Mineiro, who have been their toughest away opponent so far this term. As a result, while we are expecting a very close contest here, we feel the hosts will be able to edge the result by a slender one-goal margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawCruzeiro
47.43% (-0.49 -0.49) 27.41% (0.122 0.12) 25.16% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 45.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)59.52% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (-0.132 -0.13)79.87% (0.133 0.13)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)25.18% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.432 -0.43)59.9% (0.433 0.43)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3% (0.238 0.24)39.69% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (0.22 0.22)76.37% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 47.42%
    Cruzeiro 25.16%
    Draw 27.41%
Sao PauloDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.99% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 25.16%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro

Sao Paulo
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
Cruzeiro
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 31
Sao Paulo
1-0
Cruzeiro
Luciano (84')
Beraldo (72')

William (49'), Paixao (56'), Elias (74')
Paixao (56')
Jun 25, 2023 1am
Gameweek 12
Cruzeiro
1-0
Sao Paulo
Rafinha (3' og.)
Dourado (90+3')

Nestor (74'), Rodriguinho (81'), David (88')
Oct 17, 2019 1am
Gameweek 26
Cruzeiro
1-0
Sao Paulo
Neves (58')
Fred (53'), David (67')

Reinaldo (53'), Alves (94')
Jun 2, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sao Paulo
1-1
Cruzeiro
Pato (15')
Tche (48'), Calazans (81')
Vinicius (94')
Neves (68')
Robinho (45'), Neves (53'), Cabral (65')
Nov 18, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 35
Sao Paulo
1-0
Cruzeiro
Souza (31')
Reinaldo (17'), Alves (86')

Robinho (42'), Mendes (63')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

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1 Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

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1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

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1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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