MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 22:29:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 25, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Flamengo

Santos
2 - 3
Flamengo

Mendoza (40'), Fernandez (52')
Pires (39'), Dias (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Everton (22'), Ribeiro (50'), Pulgar (57')
Pulgar (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos 0-2 Corinthians
Thursday, June 22 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Santos 0-1 Flamengo

For all their woes, Santos have kept clean sheets in half their league fixtures at home this season. However, without their fans behind them at Vila Belmiro - and with an interim coach in charge - they are susceptible to defeat by a Flamengo side fired up after an embarrassing setback in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Santos had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawFlamengo
31.59% (-0.355 -0.36) 27.65% (-0.148 -0.15) 40.76% (0.504 0.5)
Both teams to score 48.12% (0.324 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.48% (0.458 0.46)57.52% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.69% (0.364 0.36)78.31% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)33.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)70.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (0.501 0.5)27.7% (-0.499 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (0.638 0.64)63.25% (-0.637 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Santos 31.58%
    Flamengo 40.76%
    Draw 27.64%
SantosDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.58%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.26% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 11.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.27% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.76%

How you voted: Santos vs Flamengo

Santos
9.5%
Draw
14.3%
Flamengo
76.2%
21
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2022 1.45am
Gameweek 34
Flamengo
3-2
Santos
Pedro (45+5'), Marinho (79'), De Arrascaeta (87')
Alex (53'), Carabajal (90+7')
Jul 2, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 15
Santos
1-2
Flamengo
Zanocelo (66')
Jonatan (24'), Gabriel (43'), Camacho (55'), Zanocelo (70')
Pedro (18'), Barbosa (73')
Maia (63'), Barbosa (70')
Dec 6, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 37
Flamengo
0-1
Santos

Pedro (31'), Matheuzinho (36'), Rodinei (72')
Leonardo (57')
Leonardo (60'), Fernandes (65'), Raniel (90+2')
Aug 28, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 18
Santos
0-4
Flamengo

Sanchez (5'), Alves Reis (33'), Diniz (63'), Jonatan (76'), Mota (77')
Barbosa (52' pen., 71', 80'), Pereira (84')
Isla (7'), Diego (30'), Viana (37'), Henrique (55')
Dec 13, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 25
Flamengo
4-1
Santos
Gerson (42'), Barbosa (50' pen., 71' pen.), Luis (58')
Gomes (74'), Luis (81')
Bruninho (75')
Leonardo (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
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10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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