Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 22, 2023 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio3 - 1America Mineiro
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Gremio
Sunday, June 11 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 11 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 11 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 11 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Gremio 2-1 America Mineiro
Although America Mineiro have upped their game of late, we expect Gremio to extend their unbeaten home record with a narrow victory on Thursday, as America have taken a solitary point from four away league outings this year, conceding at least two goals on each occasion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | America Mineiro |
61.92% ( 11.25) | 22.01% ( -5.56) | 16.08% ( -5.69) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( 6.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
