Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 1am UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
America Mineiro2 - 3Defensa
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between America Mineiro and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Rosario 2-1 Defensa
Friday, May 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, May 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
America Mineiro | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
45.14% ( -0) | 27.1% ( 0) | 27.77% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 47.88% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.06% ( -0.01) | 56.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.15% ( -0.01) | 77.85% ( 0.01) |
America Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.86% ( -0) | 25.14% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.15% ( -0) | 59.85% ( 0.01) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.95% ( -0.01) | 36.04% ( 0.01) |