Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 75.99%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Goias had a probability of 8.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.06%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.