Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 30, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Flamengo1 - 0Athletico PR
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Flamengo
Thursday, September 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, September 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 4-1 Athletico PR
Friday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
27
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
62.32% ( -0.28) | 22.19% ( 0.05) | 15.47% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 45.71% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.67% ( 0.2) | 51.32% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% ( 0.17) | 73.15% ( -0.17) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% ( -0.02) | 15.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.77% ( -0.04) | 45.22% ( 0.04) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.38% ( 0.43) | 45.62% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.57% ( 0.34) | 81.42% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
Flamengo 62.32%
Athletico Paranaense 15.48%
Draw 22.19%
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.92% Total : 62.32% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.66% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.48% |
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 9
Athletico PR
1-1
Flamengo
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
0-2
Flamengo
Erick (45' og.), Barbosa (90+3')
De Arrascaeta (34'), Sampaoli (34'), Maia (48'), Rodrigues de Souza (67'), Lucas (77'), Barbosa (90+6')
Gerson (90+1')
De Arrascaeta (34'), Sampaoli (34'), Maia (48'), Rodrigues de Souza (67'), Lucas (77'), Barbosa (90+6')
Gerson (90+1')
May 7, 2023 8pm
Form Guide
