MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 09:43:53| >> :120:5190:5190:
Flamengo
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 6, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Pedro (55' pen.), Henrique (71')
Pulgar (57'), Wesley (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Canobbio (6')
Bento (34'), Andrade (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, July 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-0 Athletico Paranaense

 Flamengo have not only scored six goals in winning their last two games but they have also kept a clean sheet on both occasions. Even if Jorge Sampaoli decides to rest some stars for Wednesday's first leg, such is the depth of talent available to him that the hosts should still establish a lead ahead of next week's return. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
66.79% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 19.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 13.23% (0.051 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.88% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (0.0049999999999955 0)46.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.94% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)13.06% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.36% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)39.64% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.92% (0.085000000000001 0.09)46.08% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.22% (0.065000000000001 0.07)81.78% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 66.77%
    Athletico Paranaense 13.23%
    Draw 19.98%
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 12.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 12.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.31% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 66.77%
1-1 @ 9.49% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 19.98%
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.68% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.81% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 13.23%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Athletico PR

Flamengo
87.0%
Draw
8.7%
Athletico Paranaense
4.3%
23
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Athletico PR
2-1
Flamengo
Roque (29'), Erick (80')
Barbosa (15' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 9pm
Final
Flamengo
1-0
Athletico PR
Barbosa (45+4')
> Preview
Aug 18, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
0-1
Flamengo
Terans (23'), Fernandinho (78'), Moura (79'), Henrique (90+2')
Gomes (29')
Aug 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Flamengo
5-0
Athletico PR
Bruno (56', 59'), Lucas (63'), Lazaro (72'), Pedro (90+2')
Pablo (43'), Souza (44'), Maia (49')

Bueno (54'), Santana (66')
Jul 28, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Flamengo
0-0
Athletico PR
Barbosa (41'), Maia (87'), De Arrascaeta (90+1'), Pereira (90+6')
Luiz (90+7')
Bento (23'), Erick (38'), Fernandinho (41'), Cittadini (86'), Felipe (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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