MX23RW : Monday, December 23 16:08:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Flamengo

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Flamengo

Fernandinho (90+2' pen.)
Pablo (90+7'), Madson (90+11'), Linck (90+12'), Zapelli (90+8')
Stival (90+12'), Cuca (90+10'), Pontes Moreira (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (90+9')
Hugo (50'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (87'), Bruno (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro

Flamengo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Gremio
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo

 Flamengo's recent form has been excellent, but Athletico Paranaense have also made a strong start to the campaign, and their home form cannot be ignored. It would not be a surprise to see a win either way here, but we believe that a tight match will end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
40.3% (-0.287 -0.29) 25.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 34.16% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 55.51% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.271 0.27)48.4% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.248 0.25)70.54% (-0.246 -0.25)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.77% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)57.92% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (0.333 0.33)27.18% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (0.433 0.43)62.59% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 40.3%
    Flamengo 34.16%
    Draw 25.54%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.3%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.16%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense
32.4%
Draw
41.2%
Flamengo
26.5%
34
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 23
Flamengo
0-3
Athletico PR

Wesley (30'), Sampaoli (31'), Ribeiro (52')
Barbosa (67')
Caca (27'), Santana (84'), Bueno (90+7' pen.)
Moura (58'), Santana (71')
> Preview
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
0-2
Flamengo

Fernandinho (33'), Christian (50'), Roque (82'), Cuello (90+7')
Heleno (90+1')
Erick (45' og.), Barbosa (90+3')
De Arrascaeta (34'), Sampaoli (34'), Maia (48'), Rodrigues de Souza (67'), Lucas (77'), Barbosa (90+6')
Gerson (90+1')
> Preview
Jul 6, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Flamengo
2-1
Athletico PR
Pedro (55' pen.), Henrique (71')
Pulgar (57'), Wesley (80')
Canobbio (6')
Bento (34'), Andrade (90+6')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Athletico PR
2-1
Flamengo
Roque (29'), Erick (80')
Barbosa (15' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 9pm
Final
Flamengo
1-0
Athletico PR
Barbosa (45+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


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