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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 16
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
 

Gomel
4 - 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Baga (17'), Pantya (52'), Sedko (54'), Kozlovskiy (84')
Costrov (43'), Makas (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Matsiash (71')
Boudega (60'), Lyakh (90+3')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Gomel and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gomel 1-2 Aris
Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: BATE 1-2 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Friday, July 15 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.

Result
GomelDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
45.76% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08) 27.45% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 26.78% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.23% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.28% (-0.249 -0.25)58.72% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.194 -0.19)79.25% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Gomel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)25.63% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.207 -0.21)60.53% (0.211 0.21)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17% (-0.129 -0.13)37.83% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39% (-0.127 -0.13)74.61% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Gomel 45.76%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26.78%
    Draw 27.45%
GomelDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.76%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.78%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 11am
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-2
Gomel
Kiyko (80')
Khvalko (54')
Gogolashvili (44' pen.), Makas (56')
Kuchinski (22'), Adeola (84')
Sokol (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dinamo Minsk25195147103762
2Neman27193541192260
3Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ26157440202052
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest27136859342545
5Vitebsk27125102923641
6Gomel27101073526940
7BATE BorisovBATE27107103131037
8IslochIsloch2798103228435
9SlutskSlutsk27105122540-1535
10Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2796122836-833
11Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr27710102731-431
12FC MinskFC Minsk2769122839-1127
13Smorgon2669112844-1627
14Naftan27410132643-1722
15Dnepr Mogilev2729162352-2915
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk2757151740-232


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