Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Belshina win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.